Saturday, January 21, 2012

NBA Premium Play 01/20: Denver Nuggets @ Washington Wizards

NBA - 803 Denver Nuggets @ 804 Washington Wizards

Projected line: 209 points | Denver by 4 points


The Wizards have been playing some of their best basketball this season lately by using a quicker lineup featuring John Wall at point guard, Jordan Crawford at shooting guard and Nick Young as a small forward. On their home win against the Thunder, coach Flip Saunders used these three players down the stretch and they all contributed to the team's second win of the season.
“We’ve gone small a lot,” Saunders said. “We’ve played Nick and Jordan and John together, and those guys have all been very effective playing together in the fourth quarter.”

It's obvious that Washington will continue to play at a fast pace, as they are now finally being competitive! On their last four games, the fast break points scored and allowed by the Wizards have been huge: 13/32, 20/21, 37/23 and 23/20! Against Oklahoma City, they made an effort to shoot near the basket, with 16-23 FG at the rim and of course, 11-16 FG on transition plays! They were also super aggressive with 31-43 FT! They will try to do exactly the same tonight against Denver and they won't have problems in that, as Denver is coming from a huge road win in Philadelphia and they will have an easy win mindset, just rolling with whatever style the Wizards will try to use today.

Considering the fast pace this game will surely have, the offensive improvements of the Wizards lately and Denver's offense, which continues to be one of the best in the league, I came up with a projected line of 209 points for this contest, good enough for me to take the over in here. Considering Washington's recent improvements, I believe they can hang with the Nuggets tonight and so, I'll take them in here as well.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 803/804 Over 205 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 804 Washington Wizards (+7,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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