Saturday, January 21, 2012

NBA Premium Play 01/20: Los Angeles Lakers @ Orlando Magic

NBA - 815 Los Angeles Lakers @ 816 Orlando Magic

Projected line: 177 points | PK line

***SPLIT THE WAGER***
I believe the Lakers have a great shot of winning this game. Their offense is mostly based on Post Up plays (#2 with 0.94 PPP) and this is where Orlando surprisingly struggles defensively (#28 with 0.92 PPP allowed). Orlando will be once again without Hedo Turkoglu and also Glen Davis is questionable due to a death in the family. With the Magic lacking depth at the PF position, Gasol gets a great matchup tonight and he is showing good form lately. Orlando's backcourt has been also having some problems, with Nelson struggling and J-Rich is coming from injury, so against a good perimeter defense like the Lakers, they are heading into another poor night.

I expect this game to be similar to Orlando's game against San Antonio, a slow paced game, with poor offensive efficiency and just being decided down the stretch. The Lakers have Kobe for the clutch situations, while Orlando will be without Hedo, who is their playmaker for this kind of situations, so I have to give the edge to the Lakers down the stretch. Therefore, I will be taking both the Lakers and the under on this contest.

Pick: 1 unit on 815 Los Angeles Lakers ML @ +155 / 2.55 on Bookmaker
Pick: 2 units on 815 Los Angeles Lakers (+4) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 815/816 Under 180 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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