Friday, January 27, 2012

NBA Free Premium Play 01/27: Milwaukee Bucks @ Chicago Bulls


  
Milwaukee  at Chicago 
 
 

NBA - 809 Milwaukee Bucks @ 810 Chicago Bulls


Projected line: 181 points

Chicago is coming from a loss at home against Indiana, where Rose had a bad performance, as he just didn't look completely right, though he did lead the team with 24 points. It seems that he can still do everything, just not all the time, and this was a 4th quarter where the Bulls needed him to completely take over as they were always close they never were able get the lead! Indiana had a particularly good game on the inside against the Bulls, with 17-30 FG at the rim and 7-11 FG from 3-9 feet! No Gibson and Scalabrine playing helps to explain that. On the other side, Milwaukee is coming from a road win at Houston, where they were super red hot from 3pts, with 14-29! We can't expect them to repeat such numbers tonight, as without Bogut, they have no interior game whatsoever! This has been one of the bright spots of the Bucks offense with 67% FG at the rim, but with Bogut out, they lose part of their offense. I expect a bounce back from Chicago by locking down the Bucks offense, even though they will struggle a bit on offense without Deng and Hamilton. Therefore, I expect this game to have few points scored and so, I came up with a totals projection of 181 points, low enough for me to take the under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 809/810 Under 185,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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