NBA Free Premium Play 01/24: New York Knicks @ Charlotte Bobcats

New York  at Charlotte

NBA - 501 New York Knicks @ 502 Charlotte Bobcats Projected line: NY Knicks by 9 points It was not on my plans to take the Knicks tonight, especially with them being favored by 5 points on the road. My first lean was to pass on this game, but after having a technical analysis on this game, I've realized that we have some great edges on the Knicks for tonight. First of all, DJ Augustin is out for this contest and he is a key piece in the Bobcats offense. Looking at the basketballvalue numbers, when DJ is on court, the Bobcats have an average offensive rate of 99.34, but when he is out, the Bobcats average just 92.51! That's a +6.84 net! For tonight, the Bobcats lineup will be Walker+Henderson+Brown+Tyrus+Mullens! The rookie Walker may struggle tonight in running the offense on his own and as much as we can talk trash about the Knicks backcourt, Walker will be matched up tonight against the best rookie defender in the NBA this season: Iman Shumpert, who will make his life tough, with Kemba trying to adapt to having to create shots for his team mates as the team's only true PG on the floor! With their frontcourt configuration of Tyrus + Mullens, the Bobcats frontcourt is just too soft! On their last 5 games, they averaged just 46.6% in rebounding and 20.93% on offensive rebound rates, while allowing 27.62% offensive rebound rates to their opponents! We all know about the turnover problems of the Knicks, as they commit the second-most turnovers in the league (17.6 per game), but the Bobcats have the fewest steals in the NBA! This season's head to head is at 1-1 right now (2-0 ATS for Charlotte), however note that in both games, the Knicks completely dominated the boards, with Charlotte having just 19.44 and 21.74 on ORR (Offensive Rebound Rates), while the Knicks had 26.83 and 26.42! That's a differential of 7.385 and 4.676 on these two games! The Bobcats shot better than the Knicks in both games and that's why they were able to be competitive. For tonight, I expect once again a big edge for the Knicks on the boards, especially against the Bobcats frontcourt, with Chandler matched up against Mullens! Amare is also primed for a bounce back today and he has the perfect opponents to do it tonight! I expect the Knicks defense to make a good job today and their bonus will be on their offense, where I believe that they will be aggressive due to their losing streak and they will take advantage of the poor Bobcats defense and get a good and comfortable road win tonight. I'm taking the Knicks in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501 New York Knicks (-5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker