Projected line: Dallas by 2 points
Dallas is coming
from 3 close games on the road against the Lakers, the Clippers and
Utah. Today they have a final game road trip at New Orleans, at a
clearly bad spot for them! The Mavs have been one of the best rebounding
teams in the league, but in their last two games, played on bad spots,
they grabbed just 47.7 and 39% of the total available boards! Their 4-15
gap in offensive rebounds against Utah was minimized by the tremendous
shooting edge in favor of Dallas: 52.1% FG vs 38.8% FG! Certainly this
rebounding problem will once again happen today against one of the best
rebounding teams in the league!
New Orleans is coming from an OT loss at Houston, where they had a real chance to win the ball game. They grabbed 16 offensive boards on that game and they limited the inside game of Houston! Dallas doesn't have an impressive inside game, with a low volume on their last 5 games: just 24.7% of their shots! The gameplan for the Hornets tonight will be force the Mavs to shoot from the perimeter and like we've seen, Dallas is on a bad spot tonight!
These two teams have already faced each other this season and New Orleans lost by 15 points, but note that New Orleans was coming to that game on a bad spot, as that was their 3rd game in 4 night and they had played against Denver the night before: bad physical spot! On that game, Dallas grabbed 50.8% of the rebounds, something that it is highly unlikely to happen today, as I expect a huge rebouding edge for the Hornets tonight. Even though they have a poor record, the Hornets have been consistently competitive against good teams, always losing down the stretch. Therefore, I expect them to make tonight's game really close and so, I'll take New Orleans on the spread tonight.
New Orleans is coming from an OT loss at Houston, where they had a real chance to win the ball game. They grabbed 16 offensive boards on that game and they limited the inside game of Houston! Dallas doesn't have an impressive inside game, with a low volume on their last 5 games: just 24.7% of their shots! The gameplan for the Hornets tonight will be force the Mavs to shoot from the perimeter and like we've seen, Dallas is on a bad spot tonight!
These two teams have already faced each other this season and New Orleans lost by 15 points, but note that New Orleans was coming to that game on a bad spot, as that was their 3rd game in 4 night and they had played against Denver the night before: bad physical spot! On that game, Dallas grabbed 50.8% of the rebounds, something that it is highly unlikely to happen today, as I expect a huge rebouding edge for the Hornets tonight. Even though they have a poor record, the Hornets have been consistently competitive against good teams, always losing down the stretch. Therefore, I expect them to make tonight's game really close and so, I'll take New Orleans on the spread tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 512 New Orleans Hornets (+5,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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