Tuesday, April 30, 2013

NBA Premium Play 04/29: Indiana Pacers @ Atlanta Hawks


NBA - 517 Indiana Pacers @ 518 Atlanta Hawks

Projected Line: Indiana by 3 points

Indiana went to the Game 3 of this series with a completely wrong mindset, as this generally happens with teams that have two easy wins on the first two games of the series:

“Our offensive disposition,” he said. “We played with a low motor. I thought we were passive and succumbed to their pressure.”

After two easy wins, where they weren't that bad defensively, but they won via offense with a high number of free throws and rebounds. The problem is that the Pacers's offense isn't consistent to win games via offense and so, they laid a huge egg on Game 3. However, it's important to note that the Pacers did a decent defensive job in that game. Atlanta shot 42.7% FG and dished 17 assists. In fact, Johan Petro was on court for 14 minutes and the Hawks were outscored by 3 points during that span of time. Indiana still won the rebounding edge by grabbing 53% of the boards. The problem was really Indiana's offense having the wrong mindset and so, Atlanta closed the paint well and the Pacers simply missed a bunch of jump shots with 4-25 3pts!

I believe Indiana will be much more focused tonight and especially with a much more appropriate gameplan by pounding Atlanta down low. A good sign of that was David West's numbers in Game 3, as he was on court for 34 minutes and Indiana outscored Atlanta by 4 points during that span! Therefore, I believe the Pacers will win tonight's contest and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 517 Indiana Pacers (+1,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

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