Wednesday, April 17, 2013

NBA Premium Play 04/17: Milwaukee Bucks @ Oklahoma City Thunder


NBA - 509 Milwaukee Bucks @ 510 Oklahoma City Thunder

Projected Lines: 199 points | pk line

Oklahoma City will be shorthanded for tonight's game, as they will rest their key players. According to reports, Kevin Durant, Kevin Martin, Derek Fisher and Nick Collison won't play tonight, while Russell Westbrook will play just 6-10 minutes. Therefore, the Thunder will play most of the game with Hasheem Thabeet, Daniel Orton, DeAndre Liggins, Jeremy Lamb, Ronnie Brewer and Perry Jones III. With these players, Oklahoma City will be very far from their normal level on offense.

Milwaukee has their #8 seed in the East locked, so they will also rotate their players tonight. However, they have some sense of urgency to win tonight, as they are currently on a 5-game losing streak and they won't want to go to the playoffs with six losses in a row. Of course Milwaukee will give a lot of minutes to their backups, but they have some experienced players coming off the bench such as Samuel Dalembert, Drew Gooden, Marquis Daniels, Gustavo Ayon and Ekpe Udoh. Looking at the players that will be on court most of the time on tonight's game, I believe the totals line is super overrated and so, I'll be taking the Under in here. As I expect Milwaukee to have a great chance of winning this game against a depleted Thunder, I'll be also taking the Bucks tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 509/510 Under 203 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 509 Milwaukee Bucks (+4) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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