Thursday, April 25, 2013

MLB Premium Play 04/24: New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays


MLB - 975 New York Yankees @ 976 Tampa Bay Rays

(Starting Pitchers: A. Pettitte vs A. Cobb)

Andy Pettitte missed a start due to back spasms, but then looked good at Toronto. However, his advanced stats say that he is overrated, looking at the three starts he has already had this season. His 5.02 FIP and 3.83 FIP on his last two outings were clearly worse than his ERA numbers. On a potential pitching duel with Alex Cobb, I expect the Rays's pitcher to get the upperhand. 

Just like it happens with Pettitte, Cobb is a groundball machine and so, he is a tough matchup for the Yankees's power lineup. He showed some excellent poise on his last start against Oakland, where he allowed 3ER, even though he allowed 10 hits. I expect him to have another decent showing against the Yankees today, while the Rays should cause some damage on Pettitte, as he is likely to regress a bit today, especially while facing a confident Rays's lineup. Therefore, I'll be taking Tampa Bay tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 976 Tampa Bay Rays ML (w/ A. Cobb) @ -128 / 1.78 on Bovada

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