Wednesday, April 24, 2013

MLB Premium Play 04/23: Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres


MLB - 911 Milwaukee Brewers @ 912 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: Y. Gallardo vs C. Richard)

Clayton Richard is a flyball pitcher, who needs big fields for his outings and so, he played well on his last two home games with 2 and 0 ER allowed. However, he struggled on his command with 4/4 and 3/3 K/BB ratios. As expected, he has tremendous problems against RH batters and Milwaukee's lineup is full of righties to pound him tonight. In fact, the Brewers's roster is hitting .360 BA and .918 OPS against Richard!

On the other side, Yovani Gallardo had some bad lucks on his previous outings with a really high BABIP. His advanced states (3.51 FIP and 3.98 xFIP) are much lower than his 5.24 ERA, so he is pitching better than the numbers are showing. I believe he will have a nice outing tonight, while Richard will struggle against the Brewers's hot offense, therefore I'll be taking Milwaukee tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 911 Milwaukee Brewers ML (w/ Y. Gallardo) @ -127 / 1.79 on Betonline

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