Saturday, April 27, 2013

NBA Free Premium Play 04/27: Brooklyn Nets @ Chicago Bulls

  
Brooklyn  at Chicago 

NBA - 501 Brooklyn Nets @ 502 Chicago Bulls

Projected Line: 174 points

On this moment of the series, both offenses are being completely limited by both defenses and this won't change today. Gerald Wallace said on an interview yesterday that he still doesn't know his role on the team and that's worrying considering we are in April! Anyway, after a nice Game 1, Gerald Wallace disappeared completely over the last two games, something dramatic as with Reggie Evans on the floor, the Nets have two limited players on offense, something really worrying against an elite defensive team like the Bulls.

The inclusion of Joakim Noah instead of Nazr Mohammed was the biggest change on this series. Of course Brook Lopez will still have good numbers, but he won't dominate like he did early on the series. It seems like Brooklyn won't change their lineup for today and they will just change their rotations. The Nets are defending well, but it's not like it's tough to defend the Bulls. Brook Lopez has been defending well down low and the Nets limited the Bulls to just 9-27 FG at the rim for an incredible 33.4% FG! Chicago was still able to generate some offense due to their great 14-23 FG from 16-23 feet, but they were efficient from the worst zone to be efficient and so, I expect a regression from them at this area today. Therefore, I expect another super low scoring game today and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501/502 Under 177 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada

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