MLB Free Premium Play 04/15: Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

Chicago White Sox  at Toronto

MLB - 963 Chicago White Sox @ 964 Toronto Blue Jays (Starting Pitchers: D. Axelrod vs J. Johnson) Josh Johnson is coming from a terrible outing at Detroit, where it seems that he froze with the cold weather. His fastball had no energy, as his fastball speed was about 3kph slower than it was on his first outing of the season against the Red Sox. Now on a much better spot, I expect him to bounce back tonight. Mark Buehrle also struggled on his first two outings of the season and he dominated yesterday. I expect the same to happen with Johnson tonight, as the White Sox's lineup gambles too much and so, their batters are unlikely to be walked often. The White Sox's batters are just hitting .200 BA and .658 OPS against him in 45 AB's, so I believe Johnson will indeed bounce back tonight. On the other side, Dylan Axelrod didn't impress me one bit on his first two starts of the season. His command was quite poor (2/3 and 2/4 K/BB), as shown by the 41 balls and 56 strikes he had against Seattle plus the 44 balls and 59 strikes against Washington. This is why he threw almost 100 pitches on his first two starts, but he couldn't even reach the 6th inning of those games. I expect Toronto's lineup to pound him today, while Johnson bounces back, therefore I expect the Blue Jays to pick an easy win tonight. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 964 Toronto Blue Jays RL -1 (w/ J. Johnson) @ -118 / 1.847 on 5Dimes