Sunday, April 28, 2013

NBA 04/28 Free Premium Play: New York Knicks @ Boston Celtics

  
New York  at Boston 
NBA - 509 New York Knicks @ 510 Boston Celtics

Projected Line: Boston by 2 points


I believe Boston will show some pride and avoid getting swept on this series today. JR Smith is suspended for today's game and this is a huge blow for the Knicks, who lose one of their main shooters and the NY team is pretty much being an exclusively jump-shooting team on this series. In Game 3, the Knicks had just 8 FT attempts and 32 points in the paint, but of course a great 40.7% 3pts. However, most of those shots were contested and without JR Smith on the floor today, Carmelo Anthony will be the only player who can hit these contested shots.

Boston was a much more aggressive team than the Knicks in the Game 3 of this series. They had a rebounding edge (Tyson Chandler has been pretty much a ghost so far on this series), they also had an edge in points at the paint and in free throw attempts. The problem for the Celtics is that they have been missing a lot of layups, while committing also an impressive number of turnovers. The good news is that these absurd misses and turnovers are easily correctable and so, I expect the Celtics to pick up a nice win today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 510 Boston Celtics (+2) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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