Sunday, April 14, 2013

NBA Free Premium Play 04/14: Portland Trailblazers @ Denver Nuggets

  
Portland  at Denver 

NBA - 709 Portland Trailblazers @ 710 Denver Nuggets

Projected Line: Denver by 17 points


We have a huge mismatch in here in both ends of the floor favoring the Nuggets. Portland is currently without their two best wing defenders in Wesley Matthews and Nicolas Batum, something that is a disaster for them if we add the fact that Portland's interior defense is also very poor. This allows their opponents to pound them down low and this is why exactly what the Nuggets's offense does best, as they are #1 in the league in points in the paint per game! So, it isn't a surprise that Portland allowed an average of 54 points in the paint over their last 10 games!

The Blazers have been losing their games against top teams recently, with all those games being at home, where they are more competitive. On this road game at Denver, it will be very hard for the Blazers to remain competitive, as the Blazers have no depth to compete against the high power motor of the Nuggets. Portland's transition defense has been ridiculously bad lately with 1.31 PPP allowed on their last 10 games, so I expect Denver to pound them today. The Nuggets are coming from a tough overtime loss at Dallas and they are fighting to secure the #3 seed in the West, so I expect them to have a blowout win today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 710 Denver Nuggets (-14) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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