MLB 04/13 Free Premium Play: Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees

Baltimore  at New York Yankees

MLB - 921 Baltimore Orioles @ 922 New York Yankees (Starting Pitchers: J. Hammel vs P. Hughes) Jason Hammel struggled on his first two starts of the season with 5.40 ERA, 4.45 FIP and 6.60 xFIP + 4.50 ERA, 5.10 FIP and 5.56 xFIP. This is especially concerning as he faced Tampa Bay and Minnesota, two teams who are respectively #28 with .621 OPS and #22 with .692 OPS against RH pitchers this season. He is also having too many flyballs (56.8% FB%) for the kind of pitcher that he generally is (+/- 30% FB%). He will now face the Yankees's batters who are #1 in the league with .895 OPS against RH pitchers this season, so I expect him to struggle a lot today. On the other hand, Phil Hughes gave up eight hits in four innings on an outing at Detroit and he has been struggling with a stomach flu over the last few days. Today against the power hitting offense of the Orioles on a windy day, I expect this flyball pitcher to struggle today as well. With both pitchers struggling, I expect today's contest to be a high scoring affair and so, I'll be taking the Over in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 921/922 Over 9 (w/ J. Hammel & P. Hughes) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5Dimes