Tuesday, April 9, 2013

NBA 04/09 Free Premium Play: Washington Wizards @ New York Knicks

  
Washington  at New York 
NBA - 657 Washington Wizards @ 658 New York Knicks

Projected Line: 197 points


The Knicks won't have Tyson Chandler and Kenyon Martin for tonight, so Coach Mike Woodson won't have other option that start the game immediately with a super small lineup, possibly with Chris Copeland. This will turn the Knicks into a very vulnerable team down low, not just in post up defense, but also on their rim defense. These are good news for Washington, who not only has Emeka Okafor and Nene Hilario in the frontcourt, as the Knicks won't be able to stop John Wall's dribble penetrations tonight.

Besides that, the Knicks are coming from a big win at Oklahoma City last Sunday afternoon and they will have a big game in Chicago in their following contest, so it's normal that they will suffer a letdown in terms of lack of defensive effort tonight. Washington will have a nice edge in transition offense tonight, with John Wall leading the way. The problem for the Wizards will be to defend the Knicks's offense. The NY team is on fire on offense thanks to Carmelo Anthony and J.R. Smith, whose isolation plays have been amazing lately with 1.03 PPP with their last 10 games! The Knicks's floor spacing is excellent and the advantage of playing small ball is that Washington's frontcourt isn't used to be forced to have to defend away from the rim, something that will allow the Knicks to torch them with continuous treys. This will consequently turn this game into a high scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 657/658 Over 194 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

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