NBA - 741 San Antonio Spurs @ 742 Los Angeles Lakers
Projected Line: 182 points
After the Game 1 of this series had a 92.4 pace factor, I correctly mentioned that the pace of Game 2 would be much lower due to the Lakers's influence and that happened, as the pace of Game 2 was 84.9! Things pace-wise won't change for Game 3, as the Lakers's issue on this series is on offense, as it is too predictable. Gregg Popovich will pack the paint and of course give more space to the offensively challenged Lakers's backcourt formed tonight by Darius Morris, Andrew Goudelock and Chris Duhon! Not only these three players are poor shooters, as they will also struggle in putting the ball into the right spots down low to feed Pau Gasol and Dwight Howard. The Lakers shot a respectable 45.1% FG in Game 2, with just 18 assists on 37 FG made, in a symptom of poor ball movement that will only get worse tonight without Steve Nash and Steve Blake available.
On the other hand, I expect the Lakers to be able to do a better job tonight than they did in Game 2, where they struggled. It was supposed that with Dwight Howard, the Lakers's defense would dominate in the paint like they did in Game 1 where the Spurs shot 11-22 FG at the rim, but this time, San Antonio shot 17-24 (71%) FG at the rim, while they also shot 8-16 FG from 16-23 feet and 7-14 treys! I expect the Lakers to do a better job on their inside defense tonight and so, the Spurs's offensive efficiency will depend from their outside shooting skills that has been streaky for a while now. With the Lakers inserting a slow pace on tonight's game, they will struggle on offense, bu they will have a decent inside defense via Dwight Howard, so I believe tonight's game will be a really low scoring affair. Therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 741/742 Under 186 @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada
No comments:
Post a Comment