Monday, April 29, 2013

MLB Premium Play 04/28: Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals


MLB - 955 Cincinnati Reds @ 956 Washington Nationals

(Starting Pitchers: T. Cingrani vs R. Detwiler)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

The totals line of 7 runs is just too short and it is being based exclusively on the current ERA numbers of these two pitchers: Cingrani 2.25 ERA and Detwiler 1.38 ERA. However, I believe both SP will regress big time today. Cingrani had back to back quality starts on his debut on the majors. Around 70% of his pitches were fastballs, but with him being a deceptive guy, he fooled the opposing teams with 8 and 9 strikeouts. The problem for him is that everytime teams were able to get to him, he allowed homeruns. He was also lucky that he faced Miami and the Cubs on these two starts, two teams that are in the bottom 10 in the league in hitting against LH pitchers this season. Now against Washington, the Nationals's power lineup should be able to do some damage on him today.

On the other side, we have Ross Detwiler, who has been his team's best SP on this early season. His first outing of the season was at Cincinnati, where he didn't allow a single run. However, he had a 4.16 FIP and 5.77 xFIP in that start, something that shows that he was lucky in that outing, where he had just 1 strikeout! I doubt he will be as lucky today, as Cincinnati is #2 in the league in hitting against LH pitchers with a great .809 OPS! Therefore, I expect a high scoring game today and so, I'll be taking the Over in here on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 955/956 Over 7 (w/ T. Cingrani & R. Detwiler) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada

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