(Starting Pitchers: F. Hernandez vs B. Peacock)
On his first four starts of the season, Felix Hernandez has already faced three offensive teams in Oakland, Texas and Detroit. On his last outing against the Tigers, he was simply phenomenal with a 12/0 K/BB ratio and his advanced numbers show his great performance: 0.00 ERA, 0.03 FIP and 0.38 xFIP! He will have a favorable matchup tonight against the little hitting Astros, where only two players have previous AB's against Hernandez for a combined of 2-20 .100 BA!
On the other side, I expect the Mariners's offense to wake up tonight. Brad Peacock didn't impress on his first three starts, with a 15/7 K/BB ratio that didn't impress anybody and this is why he is yet to reach the 6th inning on an outing this season. His 60% FB% rate is also worrying, as it makes him homerun prone, something problematic against Seattle's power lineup. There is also the fact that he has already pitched against the Mariners this season, where he had a lucky outing with a 5.40 ERA, 8.23 FIP and 5.55 xFIP! This time, I expect the Mariners to pound him, while Felix will dominate, allowing Seattle to have an easy win tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 971 Seattle Mariners RL -1 (w/ F. Hernandez) @ -137 / 1.73 on 5Dimes
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