Projected Line: 201 points.
Cleveland is coming from a game at Indiana last night, where the Pacers were asleep for the first three quarters of the game with terrible ball movement and terrible outside shooting: 4-16 3pts and 3-10 FG from 16-23 feet. Also Roy Hibbert and David West didn't take advantage of their huge edge down low. Then, on the fourth quarter, Cleveland wasn't able to stop Indiana's transition plays and the truth is that the Pacers ended with 33 fast break points. Kyrie Irving wasn't supposed to play back to back games, but things have changed as he will play tonight, while Dion Waiters will be also back, so Cleveland will have some scoring punch tonight due to the their guards.
On the other hand, Detroit is coming from a home win against Chicago, where they showed good offense: 53.4% FG, 9-18 3pts and 25 assists! With Jose Calderon out, Rodney Stuckey is now the team's starting PG and with that, the Pistons's defense is quite poor. They are very slow with Greg Monroe and Andre Drummond on the frontcourt, while Kyle Singler is also heavy for the SF position. This turns them into a terrible pick and roll ball handler defense team, something that Cleveland should take advantage with Irving and Waiters tonight. The good part for the Pistons is that their offense has now good explosiveness with Stuckey playing at the PG position instead of Calderon. Note that they scored 18 and 16 fast break points on their last two games, while they weren't able to score double digits on this area on their four previous games. I also expect Monroe to pound Cleveland down low, so I believe this game will be a very high scoring game. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 705/706 Over 198 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
No comments:
Post a Comment