NFL Free Premium Play: Kansas City Chiefs @ Indianapolis Colts

Kansas City  at Indianapolis

NFL Wild Card - 101 Kansas City Chiefs @ 102 Indianapolis Colts Play #1 I expect this contest to be a low scoring game due to the nature of both team’s offensive mindsets and their improved defenses going to today’s matchup. It’s no secret that KC will try to establish their running game w/ Jamal Charles and control the flow of the game w/ Alex Smith. Meanwhile, the Colts are also a run-heavy oriented team, although lately they are more a pass-control offensive team. Both teams simply don’t want to commit Turnovers and they were great during the regular season in this department w/ IND ranked #1 w/ 0.88 TO/game while IND was #2 w/ 1.12 TO/game. The h2h between these two teams a couple of weeks ago was exactly decided in the TO battle, because the Colts played a free game, while KC committed a season high 4 TO’s that prevented them to control the clock (only 21:40 vs. 38:20 from IND) and naturally they lost the game. After some bizarre and humiliating losses against inferior level teams, the Colts played better down the stretch and it was their defense the main catalyst for such improved play as they have allowed only 3, 7 and 10 pts L3 games. KC defense had a natural letdown in the last weeks as their competition got stronger, but I it’s impossible to ignore the fact that two of their best defensive players Tamba Hali and Justin Houston got injured. The good news is that both will play today and so, we can expect a KC improved defense on the field that had basically two weeks to prepare for today’s game. With two offenses focused in not committing TO’s and manage the game & two improved defenses, I feel that we are dealing w/ an inflated totals line and that’s why I’m taking the Under in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 101/102 Under 46 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline