Sunday, January 19, 2014

NBA Free Premium Play 01/19: Los Angeles Lakers @ Toronto Raptors

  
LA Lakers  at Toronto 
NBA - 801 Los Angeles Lakers @ 802 Toronto Raptors

Play #1


I expect this contest to be quite similar to the one that the Raptors played already this week against the Bucks and ended up w/ 210 points, b/c TOR’s mindset will be IMO to “outscore” the Lakers in their game…

After losing @BOS, TOR bounced back and defeated MIN at home in the last game. Despite scoring “only” 94 points, note that TOR had a pretty efficient offensive game w/ 114 Off. Rtg! The “problem” was that the game had a ridiculous slow pace – it was the second slowest paced game of the season for TOR b/c offensively, TOR was red hot from the outside w/ 11-24 3pts and had a nice mark of 26 assists – a good sign for today’s game…

TOR’s Pick n roll game shouldn’t have any problems to score against LAL that is playing K. Marshall @ PG & frontcourt due of Pau Gasol & R. Kelly!

However, since K. Marshall is running the show in LA, the Lakers are showing some nice offensive flow – a first-pass PG playing for M. D’Antoni’s system is really a primary “need” for the team, and LAL has scored 118, 114 and 107 points! Because they play w/ such small ball lineups, I expect them to cause some problems to TOR defense that usually plays w/ 2 “bigs” in Amir Johnson and Jonas Valanciunas!

My Fair line for this contest is 206/208 points and therefore, I’m playing the Over in here as my Single Dime Play!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 801/802 Over 203.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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