NFL Free Premium Play 01/19: San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks

San Francisco  at Seattle

NFL Conference Round - 303 San Francisco 49ers @ 304 Seattle Seahawks Play #2 In normal conditions, I would have a lean in SEA-3.5 playing at home vs. any team in the league as I understand the “12th man advantage” for SEA, and their incredible home record in the last few season’s that includes two complete “beatings” vs. San Francisco in the last 2 h2h’s games at home. However, this also creates an additional pressure to win for SEA, and this might turn against them especially vs. such experienced and road battled team like SF. I really don’t trust SEA offense right now… in the last game, they could have put the Saints away already in the first half, but they settled for 3 FG’s in their 4 FH scoring drives. They were #2 in offensive penalties during the regular season – only OAK had more offensive penalties than them, and SEA’s running game isn’t that “strong” – Yes, they ran for 174 yds vs. NO last week but it was vs. the Saints rushing defense….enough said. SF’s defense has been dramatically improving in the last weeks, especially since Aldon Smith returned to the team. Already in this postseason, SF has faced two great mobile QB’s in A. Rodgers and Cam Newton and they did a terrific job in slowing them down, and I expect them to be decent vs. R. Wilson. The X factor IMO for this contest is related w/ matchup SF offense vs. SEA defense… I won’t waste many words talking about SEA’s defense – they are awesome!!! However, SF’s offense has now more weapons than SEA offense and this will make the difference especially in short/medium range plays. A. Boldin, M. Crabtree & V. Davis will dictate some extra attention from SEA defense and this will open up a bit the field for Gore’s & Kaepernick’s legs in the running game. SEA’s thrives in creating Turnovers but they will have a hard time in doing that vs. SF that takes care of the ball – one TO in their last 5 games! I really expect this contest to be a tight battle while the home court advantage won’t be that much a factor IMO for a SF team that already have won @GB in the cold and completely dominated CAR on the road in the last game, therefore, I’m taking SF+3.5 in here as my Single Dime Play. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 303 San Francisco 49ers (+3.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline