Tuesday, January 14, 2014

NBA Free Premium Play 01/14: Sacramento Kings @ Indiana Pacers

  
Sacramento  at Indiana 
NBA - 503 Sacramento Kings @ 504 Indiana Pacers


Play #1


In my opinion, this is a rare opportunity in the league in which we can see the Pacers involved in a high scoring affair…

IND offense has struggled a bit in the last games w/ just 97.0 Off. Rtg in L6 games. Danny Granger is now having a bigger role in the team and obviously, it will take some time for him and for the team to develop the proper chemistry. However, IMO their offensive struggles are mainly related w/ a tough schedule, as they have played 7 games in just 11 games w/ plenty of traveling: home vs. CLE; @ TOR; home vs. NO; @ CLE; home vs. TOR; @ ATL and home vs. WAS.

For this contest, they enjoyed a nice 3-days off to rest and more importantly, they will face one of the worst defensive teams in the league.

SAC interior defensive is simply terrible and so we can expect D. West, Roy Hibbert and L. Scola to dominate down low on the offensive end against the #25 ranked defense vs. post up plays.

Obviously, the X factor for this play is related w/ the matchup IND defense vs. SAC offense…

SAC offense has been spectacular in L3 games w/ Off. Rtg. = 123.2, 117.4 & 132.9 while scoring 123, 103 and 124 points. They are attacking the rim and their transition game has been good as well. I expect SAC to push the pace at every opportunity in order to score in the open court.

SAC offense is now ranked #12 according to my numbers and IND defense has allowed Def. Rtg = 102.7 vs. top12 offensive teams in the league vs. pure domination against inferior level offensive competition of 94.96.
It will be so easy to score against SAC, that I expect IND to be a bit “relaxed” on the defensive end while SAC has some offensive weapons and the proper “good momentum” to score at a decent pace tonight. 

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 503/504 Over 194 @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada

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