Friday, January 3, 2014

NBA Premium Card 01/02


NBA - 503 Golden State Warriors @ 504 Miami Heat

Play #1

GSW is playing their best basketball of the season and I really expect them to be a tough matchup for the Heat tonight.

MIA is primed for classic letdown physical/mental spot as they are coming from a tough road trip (@LAL, @SAC, @POR & @ DEN) with 3 consecutive ball games and some banged up players. Last season, in this same spot, the Heat went 0-8 ATS…

With Iguodala back in the starting lineup (since the game against the Pelicans), GSW’s improvement has been noticed in every area: 1) they are rebounding extremely well the basketball w/ 54.6% reb/rate; 2) Their defense is way better with him on the floor (obviously); 3) They are committing less turnovers per game and 4) Even David Lee is playing better offensively, just look for his FGA/FGM numbers as of late: 11-15 FG, 8-13 FG, 7-10 FG, 10-20 FG, 11-21 FG, 8-18 FG, 13-22 FG and 10-15 FG!

I expect GSW to dominate the boards with some ease against the Heat with David Lee having another monster game on the offensive end. Iguodala will be a tough matchup for LeBron James and honestly, if the Warriors beat the Heat tonight, I wouldn’t be surprised at all!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 503 Golden State Warriors (+5) @ -105 / 1.95 on Betonline



NBA - 511 Milwaukee Bucks @ 512 Utah Jazz

Play #2

NOTE: no detailed write up for this play

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 511 Milwaukee Bucks (+5.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline



NBA - 513 Memphis Grizzlies @ 514 Phoenix Suns

Play #3 & #4

It might sound weird but MEM is probably one of the toughest matchups for PHX due to MEM’s size and length on the frontcourt.

Right now, MEM is simply crushing their opponents on the boards, they have an incredible 58.1% reb/rate L7 games! They are in a 9-game streak in which they grabbed double digits offensive rebounds and tonight they will face the Suns’ undersized frontcourt…

Note that PHX is a bad defensive rebounding team ranked just #27 in the league; their interior defense is subpar as expected, ranked #26 in points in the paint allowed w/ 46.3 ppg! It’s relatively easy to understand why such a bad offensive team was able to score 110 points against PHX in the first h2h of the season.

Mike Conley was struggling but he looked great against the Bulls in the last game. MEM lost the game because unlike the Suns, CHI has a good interior defense & good defensive rebounding team.

I expect PHX to still have some edge in transition against the subpar MEM defense but still we are dealing w/ 5.5 points spread in which the Suns would have to win by safe margin, something I really don’t expect this scenario to happen.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 513 Memphis Grizzlies (+5.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 513/514 Over 197 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline


NBA - 515 Charlotte Bobcats @ 516 Portland Trail Blazers

Play #5

NOTE: no detailed write up for this play

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 515 Charlotte Bobcats (+11.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline



NBA - 517 Philadelphia 76ers @ 518 Sacramento Kings

Play #6

NOTE: no detailed write up for this play

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 517/518 Over 220 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada



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