NBA - 503 Cleveland Cavaliers @ 504 New York Knicks
Play #3
The Knicks are finally using their small-ball lineup and it looks like they are playing in 2012/13 season because their offense is really fun to watch! In L4 games they had 113.2, 149.4, 123.3 and 124.8 Off. Rtg!
"Our pace has really picked up. We are back to playing small ball again," coach Mike Woodson said. "Guys are shooting 3s and feeling good about them. It is good to see.
"... I think guys are more committed now. There is a sense of urgency."
With the way they are shooting the ball, I really don’t think that CLE defense will be able to shut them down defensively. Actually, CLE is struggling on the defensive end, especially on the perimeter where they are allowing 37.9% 3pts in L10 games - ranked #24 in the league!
The x factor for this contest is related with CLE offense vs. NYK defense!
CLE is struggling offensively right now… their big men are raw offensively and so there is too much pressure on the guards to produce. In the last game vs. NO, CLE scored just 89 pts while shooting 41.3% FG but note that Irving went 8-17 FG for 23 points and Waiters went 9-13 FG for 21 points!
The good news for CLE is that NYK is just terrible in defending vs. aggressive guards. Felton & Prigioni are far from being decent individual defensive players and it’s not a surprise that NYK defense is ranked #29 in the league defending P&R ball handler plays – the only play where CLE offense is ranked in the TOP10!
I expect Irving and Waiters to attack off the dribble and score some easy points vs. old and slow NYK perimeter defense.
With teams having some good offensive edges, my fair line for this contest is 200 points and therefore, I’m playing w/ the OVER in here.
"Our pace has really picked up. We are back to playing small ball again," coach Mike Woodson said. "Guys are shooting 3s and feeling good about them. It is good to see.
"... I think guys are more committed now. There is a sense of urgency."
With the way they are shooting the ball, I really don’t think that CLE defense will be able to shut them down defensively. Actually, CLE is struggling on the defensive end, especially on the perimeter where they are allowing 37.9% 3pts in L10 games - ranked #24 in the league!
The x factor for this contest is related with CLE offense vs. NYK defense!
CLE is struggling offensively right now… their big men are raw offensively and so there is too much pressure on the guards to produce. In the last game vs. NO, CLE scored just 89 pts while shooting 41.3% FG but note that Irving went 8-17 FG for 23 points and Waiters went 9-13 FG for 21 points!
The good news for CLE is that NYK is just terrible in defending vs. aggressive guards. Felton & Prigioni are far from being decent individual defensive players and it’s not a surprise that NYK defense is ranked #29 in the league defending P&R ball handler plays – the only play where CLE offense is ranked in the TOP10!
I expect Irving and Waiters to attack off the dribble and score some easy points vs. old and slow NYK perimeter defense.
With teams having some good offensive edges, my fair line for this contest is 200 points and therefore, I’m playing w/ the OVER in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 503/504 Over 196 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NBA - 505 Los Angeles Clippers @ 506 Golden State Warriors
Play #4
I was really hopping that the Wizards were competitive last night not only because I had a play w/ them but also because I would have a lean w/ GSW tonight b/c we are dealing w/ a potential letdown spot for LAC. They had a long road trip, returned home w/ just one day off to rest, played a tight contest vs. WAS and have tonight a b2b game @GSW – not easy!
As usual, LAC frontcourt was basically reduced to Jordan & Griffin and both players logged major minutes last night w/ Jordan 42 minutes & Griffin 37 minutes!
LAC’s L3 losses:
@SAS 92-116 was b2b game
@IND 92-10.6 was b2b game
@CHA was 1 day off spot
On the other side, GSW lost their last game vs. WAS at home… David Lee & Bogut were banged up (questionable for the game) and they didn’t play well: Lee 2-10 FG 11 pts and Bogut played just 29 min! For tonight, w/ both players being rested vs. tired LAC frontline, I expect GSW to have a slight edge on the frontcourt.
However, the x factor of tonight’s game will be on the backcourt…
GSW backcourt was well defended by the Wizards in the last game. Curry was “terrible” w/ 5-17 FG and 6/3 A/TO but I have to give some props to John Wall b/c he was great defensively! Well, this won’t happen tonight because LAC backcourt (without CP3) isn’t in the same level of WAS backcourt (when “focused”).
This will be the 3rd h2h of the season between these two teams and LAC was competitive in both games –a blowout win & a close loss @GSW, why? CP3 factor! 1st h2h: 12-20 FG, 16-17 FT for 42 points, 15 assists and 6 steals; 2nd h2h: 9-20 FG, 7-7 FT for 26 points, 11 assists and 2 steals!
Without CP3, I think that GSW will have some great edge on the backcourt while the frontcourt battle will be tight w/ LAC potential physical letdown being a major factor as well!
As usual, LAC frontcourt was basically reduced to Jordan & Griffin and both players logged major minutes last night w/ Jordan 42 minutes & Griffin 37 minutes!
LAC’s L3 losses:
@SAS 92-116 was b2b game
@IND 92-10.6 was b2b game
@CHA was 1 day off spot
On the other side, GSW lost their last game vs. WAS at home… David Lee & Bogut were banged up (questionable for the game) and they didn’t play well: Lee 2-10 FG 11 pts and Bogut played just 29 min! For tonight, w/ both players being rested vs. tired LAC frontline, I expect GSW to have a slight edge on the frontcourt.
However, the x factor of tonight’s game will be on the backcourt…
GSW backcourt was well defended by the Wizards in the last game. Curry was “terrible” w/ 5-17 FG and 6/3 A/TO but I have to give some props to John Wall b/c he was great defensively! Well, this won’t happen tonight because LAC backcourt (without CP3) isn’t in the same level of WAS backcourt (when “focused”).
This will be the 3rd h2h of the season between these two teams and LAC was competitive in both games –a blowout win & a close loss @GSW, why? CP3 factor! 1st h2h: 12-20 FG, 16-17 FT for 42 points, 15 assists and 6 steals; 2nd h2h: 9-20 FG, 7-7 FT for 26 points, 11 assists and 2 steals!
Without CP3, I think that GSW will have some great edge on the backcourt while the frontcourt battle will be tight w/ LAC potential physical letdown being a major factor as well!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 506 Golden State Warriors (-5.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NBA - 501 Phoenix Suns @ 502 Indiana Pacers
Play #1 & #2
Well, with Indiana playing at home, rested and w/ revenge mindset going for this contest against a team that will play their final game of the current road trip & being 4th game in 5 days, I just want to say: good luck PHX!
In the first h2h, PHX completely crushed the Pacers in a shootout - The 124 points were the most they allowed under coach Frank Vogel, while the Suns shot 54.2 percent -- including 11 of 16 from 3-point range -- in their second-best performance of the season.
While the way the Suns defeated the Pacers was a surprise for me, I really expected the contest to be a high scoring affair and that’s why I had my GOW Triple Dime Play w/ Over 196 in that game!
Going for that game, IND had defeated LAC & GSW in the 2 previous contests while showing some sharp offense. It was clear for me that they would try to beat the Suns on their own game and the outcome was simply disastrous as the best transition defensive team in the league allowed a season high 28 fast break points to PHX and the best 3pts defense in the league allowed PHX to hit 11-16 3pts!
For tonight, I expect IND to change their approach as they will slow down a bit the tempo of the game and impose their superior size on the frontcourt to crush PHX’s undersized frontline. In that game, IND has shot 9-15 FG at the rim vs. 9-20 FG from 16-23feet & 5-15 3pts…it says a lot of IND’s mindset in that game, so for tonight, I expect them to “pound down”.
PHX offense has been great lately (I cashed w/ OVER in their game @MIL last night) but they are a bit overrated because they have faced some favorable matchups: MIL, PHI & CLE – all poor defensive teams.
Not only this is a tough physical spot for them but also Goran Dragic got injured last night and so, I don’t think he will be 100% fit for tonight’s contest. This is a statement game for IND and they will show in Primetime why they are the best defensive team in the league and therefore, I’m taking Indiana & Under in here as my Single Dime Plays!
In the first h2h, PHX completely crushed the Pacers in a shootout - The 124 points were the most they allowed under coach Frank Vogel, while the Suns shot 54.2 percent -- including 11 of 16 from 3-point range -- in their second-best performance of the season.
While the way the Suns defeated the Pacers was a surprise for me, I really expected the contest to be a high scoring affair and that’s why I had my GOW Triple Dime Play w/ Over 196 in that game!
Going for that game, IND had defeated LAC & GSW in the 2 previous contests while showing some sharp offense. It was clear for me that they would try to beat the Suns on their own game and the outcome was simply disastrous as the best transition defensive team in the league allowed a season high 28 fast break points to PHX and the best 3pts defense in the league allowed PHX to hit 11-16 3pts!
For tonight, I expect IND to change their approach as they will slow down a bit the tempo of the game and impose their superior size on the frontcourt to crush PHX’s undersized frontline. In that game, IND has shot 9-15 FG at the rim vs. 9-20 FG from 16-23feet & 5-15 3pts…it says a lot of IND’s mindset in that game, so for tonight, I expect them to “pound down”.
PHX offense has been great lately (I cashed w/ OVER in their game @MIL last night) but they are a bit overrated because they have faced some favorable matchups: MIL, PHI & CLE – all poor defensive teams.
Not only this is a tough physical spot for them but also Goran Dragic got injured last night and so, I don’t think he will be 100% fit for tonight’s contest. This is a statement game for IND and they will show in Primetime why they are the best defensive team in the league and therefore, I’m taking Indiana & Under in here as my Single Dime Plays!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 502 Indiana Pacers (-11.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 50/501 Under 199.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
No comments:
Post a Comment