NBA Free Premium Play 01/21: Boston Celtics @ Miami Heat

Boston  at Miami

NBA - 501 Boston Celtics @ 502 Miami Heat Play #1 The key question for this contest: will MIA bounce back defensively after such embarrassing effort last night? "We scored enough points to win, so obviously it was defense," James said. "Especially in the first half." On my recap article of that game, I’ve said: “However since 01/January, MIA has allowed 122.8 Off. Rtg to GSW at home; 123.0 Off. Rtg to NYK on the road; 130.0 Off. Rtg to WAS last week and yesterday, they allowed 127.5 Off. Rtg to the Hawks – this is a really a bad trend for them!” Analyzing all those games/losses, there is a common factor...just look for MIA’s opponents numbers from 3pts land: GSW 15-29 3pts NYK 9-24 3pts WAS 10-22 3pts ATL 12-31 3pts Those teams combined to hit 46-106 3pts - a 43.4% mark! The good news for them is that BOS is one of the worst 3pts teams in the league – ranked #27 w/ 33.2%; L10 games = ranked #28 w/ 28.9% or L5 games = ranked #29 w/ 25.0% 3pts! BOS offense will need some time to adjust to Rondo’s presence and MIA has the perfect spot to have a decent defensive game. On the other side, BOS backcourt defense w/ Rondo & Bradley is quite decent but more importantly, I don’t think that MIA is in a good spot to put an offensive show – this will be their 4th game in 5 days (the first time this season that MIA is having such bad physical spot). Therefore, I expect this contest to be a relatively low scoring game and that's why I'm taking the Under in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501/502 Under 199 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes