NBA 2013-14 RECORD 3-4-5 MM: 260-225-7 ATS | +57.66 units
NBA 2013-14 RECORD 1-2-3 MM: 260-225-7 ATS | +28.88 units
NFL 2013 RECORD 3-4-5 MM: 69-52-5 ATS | +38.10 units
NFL 2013 RECORD 1-2-3 MM: 69-52-5 ATS | +17.30 units
NBA Yesterday recap:
Brooklyn (-4) Triple Dime WIN
Over CLE/PHX 204 Double Dime LOSS
Over CLE/PHX 204 Double Dime LOSS
Under MIA/SAS 203 LOSS
Miami (-4) WIN
Orlando (+6.5) LOSS
Over NO/ORL 199 LOSS
Daily Message:
Despite hitting our Triple Dime Play w/ the Nets, we didn't have a good day at all as overall we finished the day 2-4 ATS.
I've just analyzed all plays, and so here's a quick recap:
Definitely, MIA w/ 2 days off to rest was ready to play and easily crushed the shorthanded Spurs. The pace factor of the game was 87.3 according to my numbers, so it was a slow paced game as I expected. However w/ MIA shooting 58.1% from the field, the Under play didn't have a chance.
I had ORL+6.5 & Over 199 and it was "weird" to lose w/ ORL because they had a better FG% (46.8%) than NO (45.7%). The X factor of the game was the potential edge that ORL backcourt would have on the offensive end and indeed they had: Nelson 6-14 FG, 15 points & 8 assists; Affallo 9-14 FG & 25 points and Oladipo 6-12 FG & 18 points! What was the "problem" then? Well, the Magic was completely crushed on the boards w/ just 37.4% reb/rate% (16-4 offensive rebounding edge for NO!). In the 3 previous contests, NO had 43.6%, 43.0% and 42.1% reb/rate%, so it was a bit surprisingly the way the dominated the boards in here. With so many offensive boards, the pace factor of the game was a bit slower than my worst estimations and therefore, the game went Under the total posted.
The Cavaliers scored 61 points in the first half vs. PHX, and it looked like they would score +120 points… and bang: 6 points scored in the 3rd quarter by shooting 2-22 from the field, WTF?! Still, against one of the worst transition defensive teams in the league, PHX was able to score just 5 fast break pts & 2-13 FG in transition for a miserable 0.45 PPP while CLE P&R game completely disappeared in the second half and the game went Under the total posted.
Moving on for today, we have 6 games to work so it's time to bounce back! Just a reminder: "It's a marathon, not a sprint"! As usual stay tuned especially on my twitter @gomescapper for news about the release of content throughout the day!
I've just analyzed all plays, and so here's a quick recap:
Definitely, MIA w/ 2 days off to rest was ready to play and easily crushed the shorthanded Spurs. The pace factor of the game was 87.3 according to my numbers, so it was a slow paced game as I expected. However w/ MIA shooting 58.1% from the field, the Under play didn't have a chance.
I had ORL+6.5 & Over 199 and it was "weird" to lose w/ ORL because they had a better FG% (46.8%) than NO (45.7%). The X factor of the game was the potential edge that ORL backcourt would have on the offensive end and indeed they had: Nelson 6-14 FG, 15 points & 8 assists; Affallo 9-14 FG & 25 points and Oladipo 6-12 FG & 18 points! What was the "problem" then? Well, the Magic was completely crushed on the boards w/ just 37.4% reb/rate% (16-4 offensive rebounding edge for NO!). In the 3 previous contests, NO had 43.6%, 43.0% and 42.1% reb/rate%, so it was a bit surprisingly the way the dominated the boards in here. With so many offensive boards, the pace factor of the game was a bit slower than my worst estimations and therefore, the game went Under the total posted.
The Cavaliers scored 61 points in the first half vs. PHX, and it looked like they would score +120 points… and bang: 6 points scored in the 3rd quarter by shooting 2-22 from the field, WTF?! Still, against one of the worst transition defensive teams in the league, PHX was able to score just 5 fast break pts & 2-13 FG in transition for a miserable 0.45 PPP while CLE P&R game completely disappeared in the second half and the game went Under the total posted.
Moving on for today, we have 6 games to work so it's time to bounce back! Just a reminder: "It's a marathon, not a sprint"! As usual stay tuned especially on my twitter @gomescapper for news about the release of content throughout the day!
The Magic getting crushed on the boards was not to difficult to predict. With Vucevic out, the Magic frontcourt is super small so it's pretty easy for them to get outrebounded by a lot.
ReplyDeleteAnthony Davis is a beast on the offensive boards. In the previous game the two teams played earlier this year, the Magic had Vucevic but New Orleans still had a 17-5 edge in offensive rebounds.