NBA Premium Card 01/08

NBA - 701 Detroit Pistons @ 702 Toronto Raptors

Play #1 & #3

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

I’ve watched TOR’s yesterday game @IND and they looked impressive, especially on the defensive end. It looked like we were dealing w/ two elite defensive teams and I just couldn’t stop noticing how tough it was for the Pacers to score down. Roy Hibbert and David West combined to shot only 7-18 FG while the Pacers as a team was held to just 11-20 FG at the rim.

This is really important because TOR will face tonight a one-dimensional offensive team in the Pistons, than NEED badly to score efficiently down low. Last night, despite having a pretty favorable matchup for their offense because Tyson Chandler didn’t play, the Pistons dominated the glass w/ reb/rate% of almost 60%, they scored 48 points in the paint but they just couldn’t hit three pointers w/ just 3-19 3pts! I understand that DET will shot a bit better from long range but also, TOR interior defense is way better than the Knicks interior defense sans Tyson Chandler.

DET interior defense is not bad but they struggled against good jump shooting teams. TOR L2 games has shot only 7-22 and 5-19 3pts and after such brutal physical game last night, I don’t expect the Raptors to be super efficient from long range and therefore, I expect this contest to be a relatively ugly game to watch and that’s why I’m taking the Under as my Triple Dime Play.

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 701/702 Under 197 @  -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

ADDED PLAY:

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 701 Detroit Pistons (+6.5) @  -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NBA - 711 Phoenix Suns @ 712 Minnesota Timberwolves

Play #4

NOTE: no detailed write up for this play

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 712 Minnesota Timberwolves (-7.5) @  -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

NBA - 709 Washington Wizards @ 710 New Orleans Pelicans

Play #5

NOTE: no detailed write up for this play

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 709 Washington Wizards (+4) @  -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

NBA - 713 Los Angeles Lakers @ 714 Houston Rockets

Play #6

NOTE: no detailed write up for this play

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 714 Houston Rockets (-13.5) @  -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

NBA - 701 Detroit Pistons @ 702 Toronto Raptors

Play #1

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

I’ve watched TOR’s yesterday game @IND and they looked impressive, especially on the defensive end. It looked like we were dealing w/ two elite defensive teams and I just couldn’t stop noticing how tough it was for the Pacers to score down. Roy Hibbert and David West combined to shot only 7-18 FG while the Pacers as a team was held to just 11-20 FG at the rim.

This is really important because TOR will face tonight a one-dimensional offensive team in the Pistons, than NEED badly to score efficiently down low. Last night, despite having a pretty favorable matchup for their offense because Tyson Chandler didn’t play, the Pistons dominated the glass w/ reb/rate% of almost 60%, they scored 48 points in the paint but they just couldn’t hit three pointers w/ just 3-19 3pts! I understand that DET will shot a bit better from long range but also, TOR interior defense is way better than the Knicks interior defense sans Tyson Chandler.

DET interior defense is not bad but they struggled against good jump shooting teams. TOR L2 games has shot only 7-22 and 5-19 3pts and after such brutal physical game last night, I don’t expect the Raptors to be super efficient from long range and therefore, I expect this contest to be a relatively ugly game to watch and that’s why I’m taking the Under as my Triple Dime Play.

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 701/702 Under 197 @  -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

NBA - 707 Indiana Pacers @ 708 Atlanta Hawks

Play #2

IND is coming from a really tough game against the Raptors in which they had to work hard for the full 48-min. For some reason, IND is having some problems this season in b2b games, they are 1-6 ATS L7 b2b games and while their defense is almost always awesome, their offense is prone to struggle if they can’t generate good inside looks.

IND is now 26-96 3pts L5 games for a subpar 27% mark so I expect the Hawks to pack the paint against them and “force” the Pacers to beat them from the outside.

On the other end, the Hawks offense is having a “natural” regression now that Al Horford is gone for the season. Jeff Teague who is shooting less than 40 percent in his last four games and is 1-13 from three-point range in that span and even Kyle Korver is 6-21 from the field in the last three games. They are basically a jump shooting team and unfortunately for them, they will face the #1 ranked 3pts defensive team in the league as IND is allowing only 32.1% 3pts to their opponents.

I expect an usual grind-out game from the Pacers as they will try to win the game via their stellar defense while the Hawks will take advantage of the Pacers bad physical spot.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 707/708 Under 188.5 @  -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes