WNBA - 601 Tulsa Shock @ 602 Los Angeles Sparks
Projected line: 160 points | LA Sparks by 12 points
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
The Tulsa Shock has probably the worst interior frontcourt in the league and so, it is quite easy to score against them down low. In their last game, I was expecting the Washington Mystics to exploit such weakness, but the Mystics simply committed an astonished mark of 32 turnovers: that's an average of a turnover for every 48 seconds! The Mystics shot 58% FG in the first half, but they had also 15 turnovers and then in the second half, they just panicked and stopped hitting the basket while they kept committing turnovers.
After allowing 40 and 48 points in the paint, Tulsa allowed “just” 28 paints in the paint against Washington! For tonight, I expect that mark to go above the 40 points again because the Sparks are loaded in the frontcourt with Candace Parker and rookie Ogwumike! They are coming from a 56 points in the paint mark against the Mercury and tonight, I expect the Sparks to pound the Shock down low.
The Sparks are coached by a former Atlanta assistant coach and their offense is looking similar to the Dream offense, which means that they are pushing the pace in order to score in transition. In their last three games, they have scored 15, 17 and 12 fast break points! This style fits well with the Shock because they like also to push the pace and that's why they play the game with a 3-guards lineup in the majority of the time!
This will be the Sparks 5th game of the season, but this will just be their first contest in which they are the “clear” favorite to win. I expect them to be a bit relaxed for tonight while giving some space to Tulsa. The Shock are vastly improved from last season and I don’t think that they should be a 15 points underdogs in here as well. I’m looking for this contest to be a wide open game in which the Sparks will finish strong. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in a Double Dime Play and Tulsa in a Single Dime Play.
After allowing 40 and 48 points in the paint, Tulsa allowed “just” 28 paints in the paint against Washington! For tonight, I expect that mark to go above the 40 points again because the Sparks are loaded in the frontcourt with Candace Parker and rookie Ogwumike! They are coming from a 56 points in the paint mark against the Mercury and tonight, I expect the Sparks to pound the Shock down low.
The Sparks are coached by a former Atlanta assistant coach and their offense is looking similar to the Dream offense, which means that they are pushing the pace in order to score in transition. In their last three games, they have scored 15, 17 and 12 fast break points! This style fits well with the Shock because they like also to push the pace and that's why they play the game with a 3-guards lineup in the majority of the time!
This will be the Sparks 5th game of the season, but this will just be their first contest in which they are the “clear” favorite to win. I expect them to be a bit relaxed for tonight while giving some space to Tulsa. The Shock are vastly improved from last season and I don’t think that they should be a 15 points underdogs in here as well. I’m looking for this contest to be a wide open game in which the Sparks will finish strong. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in a Double Dime Play and Tulsa in a Single Dime Play.
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 601/602 Over 154,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 601 Tulsa Shock (+15,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
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