WNBA Premium Card 05/25

WNBA - 651 San Antonio Silver Stars @ 652 Connecticut Sun

Projected line: 163 Points | Connecticut by 3 points

Even though they were playing against Tulsa, the Silver Stars showed a nice offensive flow especially from their guards: Hammon shot 6-12FG, rookie Robinson 5-5 FG and also Shameka Christon shot 6-8FG. However they were not a happy trigger perimeter based team, instead they worked well in cuts and screens and did their biggest damage in the paint with 40 points in the paint. This will work well for them tonight against Connecticut because the Sun had exactly this defensive problem against New York in the first two games of the season.  

Connecticut started well the season with two wins against the Liberty in which their frontcourt w/Tina Charles and Jones dominated the paint. The Silver Stars defense is not capable of slowing down these two players, they allowed just 28 points in the paint against Tulsa but Tulsa really doesn’t have any really dominant interior player, let alone two players like Connecticut have.

However defensively the Sun allowed the Liberty to score 40 and 48 points in the paint so despite having two good interior players, their team help defense isn’t the best at all and this will hurt them tonight against San Antonio.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 651/652 Over 158 @ -105 / 1.95 on Pinnacle

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on  651 San Antonio Silver Stars (+7)  @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

WNBA - 653 New York Liberty @ 654 Atlanta Dream

Projected line: 156 Points

Atlanta’s offseason work was focused in improving their defense and in the first game of the season against Indiana they allowed 92 points! It wasn’t pretty for them but note that Indiana was just on fire from the three point line shooting 12-21 -> an incredible 57.1 % clip! This remarkable mark from the Fever won’t happen again soon and this erased the great work from Atlanta in clogging the paint: Indiana scored just 20 points in the paint and 18-49 FG in 2pts shots -> just 36.7%! New York struggled in the first three games behind the line w/11-53 and they will be focused in attacking down low tonight.

The problem is that their offensive chemistry isn’t there yet. In the first 3 games they had 14, 14 and just 5 assists so Atlanta has a good chance to make a defensive bounce back game. 

Atlanta isn’t a good shooting team and they will miss their best interior player until the Olympics Games. New York has a loaded frontcourt so it won’t be easy for Atlanta to have easy points down low.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 653/654 Under 161 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

WNBA - 655 Indiana Fever @ 656 Chicago Sky

Projected line: 146 Points | PK Line

Chicago did a lot of moves in the offseason and they started well this season with a road win against Washington. They have the “Dwight Howard of the WNBA” in Sylvia Fowles and she crushed the Mystics fronline with 23 points w/10-14FG. Washington shot 51.9% from the field but note that still they scored only 69 points because of two factors: 1) they play in a pure half court style and 2) they had 21 turnovers! 

Obviously their team chemistry isn’t clicking right now and they’ll need some more games to gel together.  The problem for them is that they will face the Indiana Fever tonight! Indiana have their system established for years and they have been one of the best defensive teams so they won’t have problems in slowing down a team that is a work in progress.

Indiana is coming from a historic shooting night against Atlanta in their first game of the season and even though they are a good shooting team, I don’t think that they will be capable to duplicate this kind of performance tonight. Indiana also likes to operate in the half court so we can expect this contest to be a slow paced one. In this scenario, the Fever are the best team in this moment of the season.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 655/656 Under 149.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 DimesPick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 655 Indiana Fever (+3) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes