Wednesday, May 9, 2012

NBA Premium Play 05/08: Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers


NBA - 721 Denver Nuggets @ 722 LA Lakers

Projected line: LA Lakers by 2 Points

Pace factor tracker of this series: game 1 = 90.5; game 2 = 92.6; game 3 = 87.4 and game 4 = 85.10! By being the slowest game of the series, the Lakers had the receipt to beat the Nuggets and they performed better than the Nuggets down the stretch. For the first time of this series they had the rebounds edge against the Nuggets and also the Nuggets was “only” 6-16 FG in transition plays – a bad 0.74PPP mark! Having said that, why the game was still tied at 86 points with one minute to go?

That’s because the Nuggets have more depth and this series has been exhausting with the Nuggets running all over the floor. This will be the third game in just 5 days so the “physical edge” will go once again for the Nuggets while the Lakers won’t be able to play a full 48-min of good basketball. Still down the stretch their biggest experience (and better performers in clutch as well) will make the difference but I like the 5.5 points that the bookmakers are giving to the Nuggets tonight. 

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 721 Denver Nuggets (+5.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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