NBA - 535 Miami Heat @ 536 New York Knicks
Projected line: 182 points
For today, we have two new situations on this series. First of all, Bosh had some personal stuff to handle and he is probable for today, but the fact he didn't have his usual routine may put him off rhythm for this game. Besides that, Amare is out for today and so, we can expect Melo to play at PF, just like the Knicks played for most of the last month of the regular season. Looking at the first two games of this series, we can immediately look at the incredibly slow pace the games had: 84.2 & 82.7! Miami is okay to play in half court and they were incredibly effective on spot up plays with 12-25 FG, with 8-15 3pts included! On the other hand, the Knicks were red hot with 13-23 FG on ISO plays, with 5 of their players shooting over 50% FG!
I believe this game will also have a super slow pace, like it happened in the first two contests of the series. Miami won both games and so, they won't want to change, while the Knicks like we've watched in Game 1 really want to avoid turnovers, in order to prevent Miami to score a lot of transitions points. So, it would be needed another super game from both offenses today for this game to go Over the total posted, something I don't believe it will happen due to Bosh's and Amare's situations. Therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 535/536 Under 185,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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