NBA - 525 San Antonio Spurs @ 526 Los Angeles Clippers
Projected line: 195 points
After posting a pedestrian (for them obviously) number of 116.9 offensive rating in Game 1, the Spurs performed even better in game 2 with a 119.6 mark. Their ball movement is terrific and they create consistently an easy look in almost every single possession.
Near the basket they shot 17-24 FG (71%) at the rim and 7-10 FG from 3-9 feet! Once again they were red hot behind the line by shooting 10-25 and note that 9 of those 10 treys were assisted! With Tim Duncan playing so well, it’s really difficult for the Clippers to slow down the Spurs offensive machine. I’m expecting the Spurs to once again post a +110 offensive rating for today.
The “X factor” for this play will be on the Clippers side… They are shooting well from long distance in this series but they haven’t been aggressive enough down low. Tim Duncan is playing well but he isn’t the dominant defensive force he once was and Diaw/Splitter/Bonner aren’t exactly a powerful defensive combination, still the Clippers had only 9-16 FG at the rim in Game 2!
Chris Paul had another poor game (in my opinion it was even worse than G1!). He is obviously banged up and his ability to shoot suffers a bit but he did really a bad job in feeding the Clippers big men – for some reason LAC attempted only 16 FG’s at the rim! Yes, he scored only 6 points in G1 vs. 10 in G2, but at least CP3 had 10 assists in game 1 vs. just 5 in game 2! For today, I expect Paul to be more assertive on the offensive end. If you watched last night’s games between the Lakers and the Thunder then you can expect this contest to have some free throws as well, something that will help us down the stretch.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 525/526 Over 191 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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