Saturday, May 19, 2012

NBA 05/18 Premium Play: Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers


NBA - 523 Oklahoma City Thunder @ 524 Los Angeles Lakers

Projected line: 182 points | LA Lakers by 6 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

These two teams are coming from a Game 2 in this series, where the pace was ridiculously slow at 82! The Lakers decided to turn the game into the most half court game possible, where the Thunder stopped having an edge in transition. The team from LA also changed their approach in the P&R's and they succeed in that, as they clearly slowed down Westbrook. Of course Oklahoma City will make some adjustments for today, but the only way the Thunder can change to improve their offense would have to be with to make their big men to take more shots, as their frontcourt isn't offensive skilled enough to do that with consistent success.

The Lakers as usual had fatigue problems down the stretch in Game 2 and today this factor won't be different. However, this is a spot where the home team traditionally does very well and they showed in Game 2 that they can be competitive against the Thunder in a slow paced half court game, which is the most likely scenario for tonight's game. Therefore, considering the slow pace of this game and the tough spot for the two teams, I'll be taking the Under in here in a Double Dime Play. As I believe this is a good spot for the Lakers to finally win a game on this series, especially on a slow paced half court game, I'll be also taking the team from LA in tonight's game in a Single Dime Play.

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 523/524 Under 189,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 524 Los Angeles Lakers (-2,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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