Play #1
Jacksonville is 2-0 on their last two games, but they are overrated for this game. Their win last week at Cleveland was a super phony one (-9.4% total DVOA) with Brandon Weeden committing four turnovers on his own, while suffering a stupid safety as well. In fact, the Browns had 439 total yards, something that says how poor the Jaguars' defense actually was. The Jaguars' other win was at Houston, in a game where the Texans were just outright terrible.
Houston is coming from a nice game against New England, where they almost won. I believe this gave them a morale boost and now on prime time, they'll try to have revenge over Jacksonville. In the first game between these two teams this season, Ben Tate was limited to just 7 carries, while he was excellent last week against the Patriots with 102 rushing yards in 22 carries! This time around, I expect Tate to have a big impact in tonight's game, while leading his team to an easy win tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking the Texans in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 101 Houston Texans (-3) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bookmaker
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