Friday, December 20, 2013

NBA Free Premium Play 12/20: Charlotte Bobcats @ Detroit Pistons

  
Charlotte  at Detroit 


NBA - 809 Charlotte Bobcats @ 810 Detroit Pistons

Play #4

This is a great matchup for a low scoring game, as both teams are indeed poor shooting ones who need to score near the basket to be effective on offense. The problem is that both interior defenses are excellent and they won't allow that in here. Charlotte is a top 3 team on rim defense and #1 on paint defense with 35.7 points per game allowed. On the other hand, the Bobcats are also #1 on fast break points allowed per game! Therefore, they are the perfect defense to stop Detroit's offense!

The Pistons' defense struggles on spot ups, but Charlotte isn't the right team to take advantage of that with their poor outside shooting. On the other hand, the Pistons' post up defense is excellent and they will make Al Jefferson's job on offense very difficult. Kemba Walker will also struggle with his small size to score near the basket over Detroit's very big frontcourt formed by Andre Drummond, Greg Monroe and Josh Smith. Therefore, I expect both defenses to dominate the opposing offenses in here and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 809/810 Under 192 @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada

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