NBA Free Premium Play 12/15:

Houston  at Sacramento

NBA - 801 Houston Rockets @ 802 Sacramento Kings Play #1 Playing the OVER with the Kings has been one of my favorite plays as of late and for today we have another good matchup that ultimately will lead to a shootout contest. The Kings’ perimeter defense has been awful for quite some time since rookie Ben McLemore and Derrick Williams were promoted to the starting lineup, then Isaiah Thomas replaced Vasquez as the full time PG, and finally we have now Rudy Gay as their starting SF. We are talking about a nice collection of bad individual defensive players so the team’s outcome couldn’t be any different. I had a play w/ Phoenix (-6) in their last game as I expected Bledsoe and Dragic to completely destroy the Kings bad defense and indeed that happened: Eric Bledsoe, 11-16 FG, 4-4 FT, 28 points & 8 assists Goran Dragic, 10-14 FG, 5-7 FT, 29 points & 3 assists The Suns scored 20 fast break points, they were efficient from the outside w/ 12-24 3pts and they also scored efficiently down low w/ 48 points in the paint! The Rockets will offer a similar matchup as they have Harden/Lin to attack them off the dribble, they are a good 3pts shooting team and obviously they are one of the best transition teams in the league as well so I don’t the Kings defense will be able to slow down the Rockets offense. On the other side, the Kings have now a pretty decent offensive team w/ Isaiah Thomas running the show. They are attacking the rim as well and I didn’t like the way the Rockets defended the rim in their last game @GSW – they allowed GSW to score 66 points while allowing 27-38 FG in that area! I expect this contest to be a run and gun game with both offenses having the edge vs. defense. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 801/802 Over 213.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker