Saturday, September 21, 2013

Spanish Liga BBVA Round 5 Free Premium Play: Granada @ Real Betis


Granada @ Real Betis

Game Time: Sunday, 6:00 AM EST

We have Betis in here on a poor physical and emotional spot after last Thursday's Europa League game against Lyon. Of course their coach made some changes in the lineup, but this is still a terrible spot, as they played Thursday night and they'll now play again Sunday morning. Betis played some decent soocer on their first three games of the league, but they had just one point thanks to a draw at Espanyol. Things changed last weekend when Betis defeated Valencia by 3-1 with 21 total shots, nine of those on target! However, we can't ignore that Valencia is slumping right now, something that is making Betis's offense being kinda overrated for this game.

Granada is generally a quite defensive team, who gambles everything on counter attacks. They are #19 on shots, #18 in ball possession and #19 in build up plays in the league so far. So, it's not a surprise that Granada scored just one goal on their last three games. Of course Betis will use an offensive scheme in here, while Granada will try to defend as much as possible and hold the 0-0 for the whole game. Considering the unusual early start time of this game (11AM local time), Betis's letdown spot and Granada's defensive approach, I believe we should have been dealing with a 2.25 totals in here, so we have enough value to take the Under on this contest.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Under 2.5 @ -105 / 1.95 on Bookmaker

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