Champions League Group Stage Week 1 Free Premium Play: Paris Saint Germain @ Olympiakos

 

Paris Saint Germain @ Olympiakos

Game Time: Tuesday, 2:45 PM EST

This totals line of 2.25 goals is the lowest totals line of today's game, but I don't agree with it, as it should have been dealing with a classic 2.5 totals line. The reason for such a low line is due to how PSG has been struggling to score goals at their domestic league, with eight goals in five games. However, the French league is known for being a competition for a quite low number of goals scored due to the defensive approach that most teams have. This is why that after five rounds, the French team with the most goals scored in the league has just 9 goals scored and the worst defense has eight goals allowed! The difference is that PSG will have a lot more space today that they have normally on their domestic league. Olympiakos is coached by Michel, an offensive minded coach, who stated the following about today's game: 

“We won't change our tactics from game to game because our team has been built to play a certain way. It's about being strong at both ends of the pitch. Our style of play has yielded some impressive results on the domestic front and we hope to carry that form into Europe.”

Now imagine players like Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Edinson Cavani and Ezequiel Lavezzi with more freedom on the front...

On the other side, I expect PSG to have problems on their defense today. They sold Sahko to Liverpool at the trade deadline and Alex is injured for tonight's game. So, PSG will have to improvise at the center back position today. Of course we are talking about different levels of competition, but Olympiakos scored 5 and 4 goals on their last two games, something that shows how much their coach Michel is obsessed with offensive football, while Mitroglou and Saviola are a solid duo on the front. Therefore, we should have been dealing with a 2.5 goals and not with the current 2.25 goals line, so I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 2.25 @ -110 / 1.91 on Pinnacle OR @ -115 / 1.87 on 5Dimes