Projected Line: 39 points
If New England's offense was already somehow shorthanded without Rob Gronkowski for Week 1, things only got worse for them now that RB Shane Vereen and WR Danny Amendola are also injured and out of tonight's game. Danny Amendola together with Julian Edelman were Tom Brady's two main targets on week 1, as they got 17 of 29 completions from Brady! Without Amendola tonight, only Edelman will be a safe target for Brady and so, Rex Ryan will set a gameplan to be all over Edelman tonight. We can't also forget that this is a short rest spot for both teams and New England is coming from a game at Buffalo, where they had 37:43 of ball possession! New England committed several errors last Sunday and their offensive flow was far from the level showcased last season. The Jets defense looked good last week also with the help of the inconsistent Josh Freeman and now against the depleted Patriots' offense, I expect the Jets defense to do a decent job tonight.
On the other side, New England's defense was quite decent against the Bills. Buffalo scored 21 points, but 14 of those points were the result of New England's turnovers. Geno Smith didn't have a great debut last Sunday and he was sacked five times during the game. The running game was basically non-existent, with Bilal Powell (2.4 Y/C) and Chris Ivory (1.5 Y/C) having terrible performances. Of course the Bucs run defense is an excellent unit as shown last season, but I expect New England's defense to do a good job tonight against a Jets offense that doesn't have a lot of quality options. TE Kellen Winslow was the receiver that got the most balls from Geno last Sunday and this shows the little risk that the Jets offense are taking right now.
Last season's games ended up being high scoring games (26-29 & 19-49), but the circumstances are completely different right now. The Patriots offense is lacking their regular flow due to so many injuries, while the Jets won't likely repeat the catastrophic performance they had last Thanksgiving against the Patriots. I expect a low scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Under tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 101/102 Under 43 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada
Last season's games ended up being high scoring games (26-29 & 19-49), but the circumstances are completely different right now. The Patriots offense is lacking their regular flow due to so many injuries, while the Jets won't likely repeat the catastrophic performance they had last Thanksgiving against the Patriots. I expect a low scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Under tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 101/102 Under 43 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada
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