Saturday, September 21, 2013

English Premier League Round 5 Free Premium Play: Stoke City @ Arsenal


  
Stoke City @ Arsenal

Game Time: Sunday, 8:30 AM EST

Stoke has been a quite solid team this season that puts a lot of pressure on the opposing ball carrier. They start five players in the midfield on these games to control the opponent and they have a world class goalkeeper in Asmir Begovic as well. So, it's not surprise that they allowed 1, 1, 0 and 0 goals on their first four games of the league. Stoke's weakness is on offense, where they don't have a lot of quality options. It seems like Marko Arnautovic will start and he is an improvement over Kenwyne Jones, who missed a lot last week against Manchester City. Besides some occasional chances on set pieces, I don't believe Stoke's offense will cause any problems to Arsenal in here.

On the other hand, Arsenal's offense has great fluidity and it's impossible not to like them, but I believe they will physically struggle in here. Both Olivier Giroud and Mesut Ozil were questionable for Arsenal's CL game at Marseille mid week, but they ended up playing the 90 minutes there. Arsene Wenger has no quality options on the bench to replace them in here, so I believe Arsenal will have some offensive problems in here against Stoke's good defense, especially in the second half. Therefore, I believe this game will be a low scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Under 3 @ -135 / 1.74 on Pinnacle OR @ -137 / 1.73 on 5Dimes

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