Borussia Dortmund @ SSC Napoli
Game Time: Wednesday, 2:45 PM EST
Borussia Dortmund has been one of the top European teams over the last few years, especially last season when they made the CL final. They are favored today at Napoli mostly because of this recent success. However, Napoli is such a good team that it can't have +220 ML odds (31% chances to win) against anybody right now! It's obvious that the oddmakers conversion to Asian handicap lines set this line into +0.25 for them and as long as we have this line, we have great value with the Italian team in here.
We are in presence in here of a renewed Italian team that will give a huge fight to Juventus in the Italian league this season. In fact, they are showing exactly that with three wins in three games, with nine goals scored and just two allowed. Napoli's main signings for the new season are all players with previous experience on these games (Reina, Albiol, Callejon and Higuain), besides their coach Rafa Benitez is an expert on European cups, with three European trophies with three different teams! Napoli always has a huge home crowd edge on these big games and it's always tough to beat an Italian team at home, let alone this very improved team. In fact, Bayern Munich last season couldn't win at Napoli against an inferior version of the Italian team in comparison with this year's team.
On the other side, Borussia Dortmund had a good start at the Bundesliga this season, but they are currently playing without some key players in the midfield: Gundogan, Kehl and Piszczek, something important as Napoli has a great midfield line. Bottom line: we are in front of two powerful teams and so, I expect a tight game in here. Therefore, a +0.25 line for Napoli has a lot of value in here and so, I'll be taking the Italian team in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on SSC Napoli (+0.25) @ -115 / 1.87 on Betonline
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