Liverpool @ Swansea City
Game Time: Monday, 3:00 PM EST
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
Liverpool is being the biggest surprise in the league so far, with three wins in three games, with all wins coming with a 1-0 result. Therefore, no matter the opponent they would be facing today, the totals line would have to be a low one, as Liverpool's first three league games this season went well below the totals line. Liverpool vs Stoke had a totals line of 2.5, while Liverpool's games against Aston Villa and Manchester United had totals line of 2.75 and 2.5 respectively. For tonight's game, the totals line is at 2.25!
Matchup wise, I believe today's game will be the first one where Liverpool will face a wide open opponent, as that Swansea's playing style. Their three 1-0 wins don't reflect the good offensive soccer that Liverpool has been playing. They should have crushed Stoke as they several scoring chances for that (25 shots + 11 shots on target), then they faced Aston Villa on the road that had a pathetic defensive approach, while Man Utd also used a quite defensive approach on their game against Liverpool. On the other hand, Swansea under the leadership of Michael Laudrup plays with a positive approach and they had the majority of ball possession on their first three games of the season (54%, 52% and 58%), while creating several scoring chances. Their attacking duo of Michu and Bony is quite powerful by combining Michu's creativity and Bony's speed.
Five of the six games that these two teams have played this season went under and thanks to that, we have a ridiculously low line that allows us to have a massive edge on the Over. I strongly believe that both teams to score at least one goal, with a very likely chance at least one team will score multiple times today. Both Swansea and Liverpool like to have the ball and know how to attack. Regarding today's lineups, Liverpool's top defender Daniel Agger is out and he will be replaced by the newcomer Mamadou Sakho, who will make his debut for Liverpool tonight. Glen Johnson is also out, so Liverpool will have to make two defensive changes for tonight's game. But the biggest news for Liverpool is that their coach Brendan Rodgers will replace the unimpressive forward Iago Aspas with Victor Moses, who will give the edge an even more attacking style. These factors made me upgrade a potential single dime play on the over in here into a Double Dime play!
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on Over 2.25 @ -120 / 1.83 on Betonline
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