Tuesday, September 17, 2013

Champions League Group Stage Week 1 Free Premium Play: Juventus @ FC København


   
Juventus @ FC København

Game Time: Tuesday, 2:45 PM EST

This play might be considered as today's sucker bet, but I can't avoid taking Juventus on an easy win today. The group stage draw put the Italian team in the same group as Real Madrid, so both teams are very likely to stay in the top of this group at the end. However, it's important to win the group to secure an easier opponent on the knock-out stage, so Juventus will make sure they don't lose stupid points to have a chance of beating Real Madrid for the top place of the group.

Normally, domestic league champions from minor leagues tend to dominate their league but struggle in the group stages of the Champions League. Things aren't happening like this for Copenhagen, as they are just 10th in the Danish league right now with seven points in eight games! When you can't win consistently against inferior opponents, how can you be competitive against a top team like Juventus? You can't!

Juventus with Antonio Conte as their manager is back into being a top team in Europe. I don't include them into the tier 1 teams, where Barcelona, Real Madrid or Bayern Munich are, but they aren't that far from that level. Their tactic scheme is almost unique in Europe due to Andrea Pirlo's positioning and a team like Copenhagen will struggle to defend them today. Therefore, I expect an easy win for Juventus today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Juventus (-1) @ -141 / 1.71 on Pinnacle OR -155 / 1.65 on 5Dimes

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