Portuguese Primeira Liga - FC Porto @ Paços de Ferreira
We have in here a huge difference of level between these two teams. Paços de Ferreira surprised last season with a 3rd place in the league, but their current team has nothing to do with the team last season, especially with their last year's coach now being FC Porto's new coach, something that will give another edge to Porto today. To make things worse for Paços de Ferreira, their new coach is Costinha, an inexperienced coach who is yet to show any quality to be a coach in this league. This is especially true considering Paços de Ferreira has lost all their official matches this season so far, while showing problems in all sectors. Paços de Ferreira is especially struggling on defense, as they are being prone to commit terrible individual errors.
In normal conditions, Paços would always have a lot of problems today against Portugal's best team, but there are three factors that give an even bigger edge to Porto today:
1) This game will be played in the town of Felgueiras, as Paços's stadium is currently on renovations. On a neutral match, Paços's home factor will be gone.
2) FC Porto's two main rivals (Benfica & Sporting) faced each other last night and tied 1-1. A FC Porto's win today will give them a 2 points lead over Sporting and a 5 points lead over Benfica with just three rounds played!
3) Paços de Ferreira played a midweek game at Russia for Champions League, where they used their best lineup. Paços is a small team with no experience with playing twice a week, especially with a huge trip to Russia involved.
FC Porto had also a similar line at Round 1, where they played at Setubal against a much better team than Paços right now. I expect an easy win for FC Porto today, so I'll be taking them on the spread today.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on FC Porto (-1,5) @ -117 / 1.85 on Pinnacle OR @ -119 / 1.84 on 5Dimes
No comments:
Post a Comment