Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Soccer Champions League Premium Play 09/17: Shakhtar Donetsk @ Real Sociedad

Soccer Champions League - Shakhtar Donetsk @ Real Sociedad

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

***TOP PLAY***


From all the major leagues that I've been following on this early-season, the Spanish league is clearly the one that has been showing better quality over the other major leagues such as the English, Italian or German ones. Therefore, I immediately give an extra edge to Spanish leagues on European competitions right now. I saw Real Sociedad's two games against Lyon in the Champions League play-off round and they showed an impressive maturity for a team that isn't used to play on this kind of competitions. They know how to defend and their counter attacks are simply awesome! On the Spanish league, they currently have one win, two draws and one loss, but I don't give a lot of importance to this "subpar" start, as not only their loss was against Atletico Madrid (who is playing amazingly right now), as Real's two draws are in games that were followed by Champions League's games, on clear lookahead spots for them.

Real Sociedad will face today Shakhtar Donetsk, a overrated team right now, as they are very far from the level they showed last season. Shakhtar was one of the best surprises of the Champions League last season, as they pushed Chelsea into the Europa League on group stage. However, they sold their two best players on this off-season. Fernandinho went to Manchester City, while Henrikh Mkhitaryan went to Borussia Dortmund. Of course Shakhtar also spent a lot of money in new players, with almost all of them being young Brazilian players who were still playing on their country and so, they need to adapt to a new soccer, language and culture before being able to play at a decent level. 

The truth is that after nine rounds of the Ukraine league last season, Shakhtar had scored 29 goals, while this season after nine rounds, they have just 19 goals scored! They started last season with nine wins in a row, while they have already lost twice this season, with these two losses being on two of their last three games! When a team like Shakhtar, who has a much bigger budget than their local opponents, struggles to dominate, this is a really bad sign. So, we are in front of two teams with very different chemistry levels right now and also competing at a really different level. Real Sociedad will play at home and with their current level, I expect them to have little problems in taking out the struggling Shakhtar. If this game was played last season, I wouldn't have a play in here, but with Shakhtar's current level. I'm taking Real Sociedad in here in a Triple Dime Play!

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on Real Sociedad (-0,25) @ -112 / 1.89 on 5Dimes

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