Thursday, January 12, 2012

NBA Premium Play: Washington Wizards @ Chicago Bulls

NBA - 707 Washington Wizards @ 708 Chicago Bulls

Projected line: 180 points | Chicago by 10 points

NOTE: Derrick Rose is OUT for tonight, so my projection lines for this game are now 177 points & Chicago by 9 points!!!


This is clearly a bad spot for Chicago, who will play tonight a back to back to back game and also the 5th game in 6 days. More than that, the way they faced yesterday's game at Minnesota might be dangerous for them and may indicate a letdown for tonight. Chicago tired to outrun Minnesota yesterday by taking advantage of the fact that Minnesota was on a back to back to back game! The pace of that game was quite high (94) and so, the game was played up and down, with Chicago being simply a perimeter team. The Bulls were extremely backcourt heavy, with Boozer/Noah/Asik/Gibson only accounting for 25 of the team's 111 points! Chicago shot just 14-22 FG at the rim, but they shot 10-22 FG from 16-23 feet and 11-20 3pts! The problem was that since Minensota was able to comeback into the game, the Bulls used their starters for a long time. Deng played 43 minutes, Rose 42 minutes and Brewer 36 minutes! Also apparently, Rose was limping around the locker room after the game having
aggravated his turf toe problem! Chicago's playing style is very athletic and if they are on a real bad spot, their defense may become a problem. Remember their game at Atlanta?

On the other side, Washington is coming from their first win of the season against Toronto. It was a super easy spot for them, but the most important was the chance in the starting lineup! Washington started Wall, Young, Singleton, Booker and McGee (all hustle guys), while Blatche, Lewis, Crawford, Mack and Vesely came from the bench to give some scoring punch to the 2nd unit!

The Wizards had a season-high 20 assists, which was a credit to a better commitment to ball-movement and trust, but also an ability to make shots: “We’ve had so many times when we’ve gone to the bench with so many of our young guys and we seem to have more droughts. It’s even more difficult when you’re not scoring,” Saunders said. “Most of the good teams in this league, you become better when you go to your bench. [Dallas Mavericks guard] Jason Terry is a starter. Most of the good teams have someone like that that they put into the game. He’s better than the guys they have on the floor usually.” the Wizards reserves accounted for 43 of the 93 points, surpassing the previous season-best total of 39 bench points in Milwaukee.

This is a bad spot for Chicago and with the new energetic lineup of the Wizards, I expect them to make this game at least somewhat close. Therefore, I'll take Washington in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 707/708 Under 184 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 707 Washington Wizards (+13,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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