Sunday, January 15, 2012

NBA Premium Play 01/14: Toronto Raptors @ Chicago Bulls

NBA - 515 Toronto Raptors @ 516 Chicago Bulls

Projected line: 173 points
Once again, we have two teams in here in absolutely horrible physical spots with this game being their 5th in 6 nights: b2b2b + 1 day rest + b2b! Even without Bargnani, Toronto was competitive last night without Bargnani, as their backcourt had a good game: Calderon 5-12 FG, DeRozan 8-15 FG and Barbosa 9-17 FG! The problem is that the two starting players of the Raptors backcourt played heavy minutes last night (41 minutes both!) and with no legs and with no interior threats, Toronto's offense will easily be stopped by Chicago's defense.

On the other side, Chicago is coming from a tough game at Boston last night, where coach Thibs simply didn't use his bench! Kyle Korver was the player coming off the bench who played more minutes with just 15 minutes! Toronto is the league's best team in defending the rim and so, the Bulls will have to shoot tonight from the outside, but with such physical tough spot, I don't expect them to shoot well tonight. Therefore, I see value on the under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 515/516 Under 176,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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