Sunday, January 29, 2012

NBA Premium Play 01/28: Memphis Grizzlies @ Phoenix Suns

NBA - 509 Memphis Grizzlies @ 510 Phoenix Suns

Projected lines: 193 points | Memphis by 8 points
Phoenix is coming from a huge loss at Portland, where after a close first quarter, the Blazers opened up a can of revenge, using strong defense and hot shooting to leave the Suns demoralized and defeated by 38 points The main reason for the Suns huge loss was that Portland by being a physical team, completely outmuscled the Suns: second chance points: Portland 19, Phoenix 0, Assists: Portland 28, Phoenix 18 e Rebounds: Portland 58, Phoenix 41! The Suns were horrible from the outside, with 4-24 FG from 16-23 feet and 4-13 3pts! The key factor for that was that McMillan pointed to Batum's ball pressure on Nash as the key. "It starts with the pressure on the ball," he said. I thought it started with Raymond picking up full court and then when Nic came in, as opposed to having Crawford up there, we went with Batum on the ball. I thought tonight he played Nash as well as he's played him in the last few years."

We can expect a bounce back from the Suns in terms of effort, but with Memphis also fired up, the Grizzlies will offer exactly the same problems that Portland gave to Phoenix, as they are far more athletic than the Suns. Phoenix has been having problems with the turnovers with 20, 15, 23, 19, 15 and 22! Memphis is the best team in the league in creating turnovers and today they will certainly put a lot of pressure on Nash! Memphis may get a bit exposed by the good shooting of Phoenix, but the athletic edge will be evident on the offensive end.

Memphis will surely run tonight to explore the physical edge, while it has been reported that Phoenix will change their starting lineup wirh Frye starting again. Memphis is the better team and even though Phoenix will bounce back after yesterday's humiliation, the Grizzlies are also 0-2 on their last 2 games and they will also be fired up tonight. I expect a good win for the Grizzlies on a good offensive game by both teams and so, I'll take both Memphis and the over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 509/510 Over 189,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 509 Memphis Grizzlies (-4) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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