Tuesday, January 17, 2012

NBA Premium Play 01/16: Toronto Raptors @ Atlanta Hawks

NBA - 715 Toronto Raptors @ 716 Atlanta Hawks

Projected line: Atlanta by 6 points
With Al Horford out due to injury and McGrady questionable, the Hawks are clearly lacking depth on their roster right now and this is why they struggled so much to beat Minnesota for example. Atlanta is a team that likes to attack the rim, as we can see from their shot locs:

        %Rim    %Short    %Mid    %Long    %3P
ATL    33.6%    10.4%    5.4%    28.6%    21.9%

However, Toronto is an excellent defensive team at the rim and they will certainly cause problems to the Hawks offense today. Even with Bargnani still out, the Raptors still have other options on the offense, especially when they aren't on a tough spot like they were when they played their last game at Chicago. I believe that players like Calderon, DeRozan or Amir can surely cause some problems to the Hawks defense, especially when Atlanta is clearly lacking depth on the frontcourt. I believe this blowout line is way too high looking at the Hawks available roster right now and therefore, I'll take Toronto in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 715 Toronto Raptors (+10) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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